Tuesday, September 16, 2008

Dato Chin Nam Stakes review

We have put a poll up on the side bar for your early Melbourne cup picks.

Every year, as soon as we get the first warm rays of spring, I start watching the racing more intently. This year, as the WHAB crew is taking a tax-deductible trip down to Melbourne for the cup, the intensity will be even greater.

Every week or two, one of us will give a bit of a market update and talk about some of the runs that caught our eye.

The Dato Chin Nam Stakes over the mile on the weekend is a pretty awkward form race. Watching this a few times, it might be best to not forget that it happened, but to treat it as a run for some of the cup fancies and leave it at that. Guillotine put together a nice run, but it had all of the favours in transit and it wasn't a run that had "cups horse" all over it.

However this little snippet from the Herald Sun over the weekend made me do a wee double take:

"Guillotine has only 50kg, the minimum, in the Caulfield Cup and Hayes will consider that as the main target for the spring"

So there you go. A little taste of the G-Tine at $18 seems like a good idea based on that knowledge.

The second place getter Casual Pass stuck on nicely and may have a big race in him at the ripe old age of 8. Which race that is, we probably need one more run to determine.

Alamosa is probably one that you can strike out. If this horse was a Cox Plate chance, it really needed to win given that it had a lot of favours in transit.

Your best run from a cups perspective: Zipping who finished with a booming run out wide.

And what to make of Tears I Cry? Buggers me. Maybe this whole race is just another case of the Valley's screwing with everyones form lines.


Captain Carnage said...

Tears I Cry was the run of the race but Zipping was the run of the race from a Caulfield Cup point of view. I think that Tears I Cry is massively under-rated. He would have won that if it was a Flemington 1600m race. Zipping is a perfect Caulfield Cup horse if there is pace on. If there is no pace, he is a duffer. Not totally sold on Guillotine yet. Casual Pass looks like he could win another Caulfield Cup or Cox Plate lead-up but he's not good enough to win the Cox. I would be interested to see how he would go over 2400m however...

Captain Carnage said...

By the way, the best Cups trial so far is Efficient's run in the Makybe Diva.

Professor Chaos said...

Indeed. Efficient in the Makybe Diva looked good. Was going to post that race and some commentary today.

Tears I Cry is erratic but has some super classy runs in it.

Guillotine at $18 for the Caulfield Cup.. sure I am not sold yet but one more good run and watch him come in.